Trump has multiple paths to electoral victory on Election Day: Polling

By Jen Krausz on
 October 15, 2024

A Breitbart News analysis of Real Clear Politics polling data shows that Republican nominee former President Donald Trump and running mate Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH) have multiple paths to victory over Democrat presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris and running mate Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz. 

Current polling averages give Trump and Vance a comfortable 219 electoral votes, with Harris and Walz at 226.

But with the exception of Wisconsin, all the swing states are leaning slightly toward Trump with three weeks to go until Election Day, so there are a few ways he can win.

The easiest path would be to win North Carolina, Georgia, and Pennsylvania. North Carolina has gone to Trump in the last two elections, but the Republican Lt. Gov. candidate is trailing badly in his gubernatorial race due to recent scandals.

Both North Carolina and Georgia polling averages show Trump up half a percentage point, but in Pennsylvania he is only ahead by a tiny .3%.

If he loses Pennsylvania, he can still win by getting the other two states plus Arizona and Michigan. The polls are looking much more favorable than they did a month ago as the shine begins to dull on Harris and Walz, despite constant media help.