GOP voters prefer Trump by double digits even if he is convicted of a crime

August 27, 2023

GOP voters are proving to be a stubborn bunch when it comes to their preferred 2024 presidential candidate.

When asked by Yahoo!YouGov for whom they would vote in the GOP presidential primary if former President Donald Trump were convicted of a serious crime in the coming months, 35% still said Trump would be their first choice.

That number beat the next closest candidate, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, by 15 points. DeSantis had 20% support in the hypothetical poll.

All other GOP candidates still polled under 10% in that scenario, although if their support consolidated behind DeSantis, he could beat Trump by almost 10%.

Almost one in five GOP voters (17%) said they weren't sure who they would vote for if Trump were convicted of a serious crime. If all of these undecided voters joined to vote for DeSantis, he would again win with 37% of the vote.

This poll shows that a lot could still happen before the presidential primary or election. Trump should expect to see a significant exodus away from him if convicted, whether he deserves that or not.